As global weather patterns shift, all eyes are on the looming El Niño and what it could mean for South African agriculture. In this episode of AgriView, Wandile Sihlobo,chief economist of Agbiz, unpacks the transition from two exceptional La Niña seasons into a far more uncertain outlook, where below-average rainfall could disrupt crops, livestock, and regional food security.
With strong soil moisture and dam levels offering a temporary buffer, the big question remains: How severe will this El Niño be, and how should farmers prepare?
But weather is only part of the story. Rising input costs, geopolitical tensions, and shifting regional dynamics are compounding the risk, especially across Southern Africa where reduced fertiliser use and drought could collide. While South Africa may be better positioned than its neighbours, tough decisions lie ahead as planting season approaches.
This episode breaks down the key signals to watch, and why staying informed, not reactive, will be critical in the months ahead.
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