The Citrus Growers’ Association of Southern Africa (CGA) has revised its export estimate for the 2026 lemon season upward, citing favourable growing conditions and improved fruit development across major production regions.
By Maile Matsimela, digital editor at African Farming
Following a recent meeting of its Lemon Variety Focus Group, the CGA increased its forecast from 45.8 million 15 kg cartons to 49.4 million cartons. According to the CGA, the upward revision reflects the dynamic nature of the current lemon season and the positive impact of weather conditions in key production areas.
Although harvesting started later than usual, three significant cold fronts accelerated fruit colour development, helping fruit reach export readiness more quickly. Increased rainfall in many lemon-producing regions also contributed to stronger fruit growth and larger fruit sizes, resulting in higher carton volumes than initially expected.
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Key regions record higher estimates
The CGA noted that packing activity remains concentrated in major lemon-producing areas, with Senwes, Patensie and the Boland accounting for most of the fruit still to be harvested. Among the regions showing the most significant increases in production estimates are Letsitele in Limpopo and the Sundays River Valley in the Eastern Cape.
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Industry coordination remains critical
With higher volumes expected to move through the supply chain, the CGA emphasised the importance of continued coordination and communication across the citrus industry.
The association said effective planning and sufficient logistical capacity throughout the value chain would help manage the increased crop and maintain a steady flow of fruit to international markets.
These efforts are aimed at preventing periods of under- or oversupply and ensuring South African lemons continue reaching global customers efficiently.
While overall volumes have increased, the CGA indicated that the season is likely to end more abruptly than normal. Instead of gradually tapering off, lemon exports are expected to decline sharply around mid-July, signalling an earlier conclusion to the marketing season.
Quality remains strong
Despite the larger crop, the CGA reported that fruit quality remains excellent.
The association said the strong quality profile of this year’s lemon crop reinforces South Africa’s reputation as a reliable supplier of premium citrus to international markets.
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