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Rainfall outlook positive for Zambia for rainy season

According to a report issued by the Zambia Meteorological Department (ZMD), most parts of Zambia are likely to receive normal to higher than normal rainfall during the 2017/’18 season.

Normal rainfall is expected for most parts of the country except the eastern parts, which may receive normal to below normal rainfall for October, November and December.

There is a chance of normal to above normal rainfall from November to March 2018 for most of the country, with the north eastern parts still recording normal rainfall until the end of December.


According to the ZMD, this season’s rainfall forecast is influenced by the neutral state of El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean. These conditions are mostly characterised by normal weather conditions over most parts of Zambia.

Current rainfall predictions for 2017/’18 include normal to above normal amounts of rain, as well as the possibility of floods and flash floods in prone areas. This increases the prevalence of fungal diseases, waterborne diseases, breeding sites for mosquitoes and malaria, as well as fall armyworms.

Normal to below normal conditions are expected in the northern parts of Muchinga and the eastern provinces with dry spells that could also result in possible crop losses.

Read the entire forecast here: Zambia Meteorological Department_Seasonal Rainfall Forecast 2017 – 2018

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