Dwindling chance of El Niño in second half of year
After scares of possible El Niño conditions returning in 2017, current outlooks predict neutral conditions for this spring. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology changed its El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) outlook to inactive, with the American Climate Prediction Centre doing the same. “ENSO-neutral is favoured (50 to 55% chance) through the…